KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record profitability and fundraising: FRE $1.15/share, TOE $1.55/share, ANI $1.41/share; $43B new capital (2nd-highest ever), AUM/FPAUM up 16% YoY to $723B/$585B .
- Q3 beat vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $1.41 vs $1.30 est; Revenue $7.10B vs $2.26B est; strength in management fees and monetizations; capital markets fees $276M supported activity across PE/Infra/Core PE/3rd-party (debt-focused ~80%)* .
- Insurance “total economics” continue to scale; reported Insurance Operating Earnings $305M (benefited by $41M assumption review), but management reiterates ~$250M +/- run-rate and highlights rising asset-management and capital-markets economics tied to Global Atlantic .
- Outlook/guidance: Management reaffirmed 2026 targets ($4.50+ FRE/share and $7.00+ ANI/share) and noted ~$0.18/share one-time Q4 clawback charge from Asia PE Fund II; monetization pipeline remains constructive ($800M–$1B visibility over next two quarters) .
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record recurring earnings power: “fee-related earnings of $1.15 per share, total operating earnings of $1.55 per share, and adjusted net income of $1.41 per share...among the highest we've reported” .
- Fundraising momentum and dry powder: $43B raised in Q3 (2nd-highest ever), $126B uncalled commitments; AUM/FPAUM +16% YoY; K‑Series private wealth AUM up to $29B vs $14B a year ago .
- Monetizations and portfolio maturity: Over $1B combined monetization activity across AM and Strategic Holdings; near-record embedded unrealized gains (~$17B) positioning future exits .
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What Went Wrong
- Transaction/monitoring fees lower YoY: $328M vs $467M in 3Q’24 (mix shift), though capital markets fees remained strong at $276M .
- Net realized investment income fell sharply QoQ: $3.8M vs $130.9M in Q2, reflecting timing/mix of realizations .
- One-time Q4 clawback impact: Asia PE Fund II underperformance leads to ~$0.18/share hit to Q4 ANI (gross clawback ~$350M collected many years ago to be repaid) .
Financial Results
Actual vs S&P Global Consensus (Q3 2025):
- Primary EPS: Actual $1.41 vs Estimate $1.2989*
- Revenue: Actual $7.105B vs Estimate $2.258B*
- Primary EPS – # of Estimates: 17*; Revenue – # of Estimates: 4*
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment earnings (profitability mix):
Key KPIs and capital metrics:
Segment highlights (selected):
- Asset Management: Management fees rose to $1,063.6M; Fee-Related Performance Revenues $73.2M; FRE $1,032.9M .
- Capital Markets: Transaction fees $275.8M; ~80% debt product focused .
- Insurance: Net Investment Income $1,835.0M; Insurance Operating Earnings $304.7M; GA AUM $212B .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We’re pleased to be reporting fee-related earnings of $1.15 per share, total operating earnings of $1.55 per share, and adjusted net income of $1.41 per share” (Craig Larson) .
- “The total economics related to our insurance business…are approximately $1.4 billion year to date…If anything, these figures meaningfully understate the earnings power of owning Global Atlantic” (Rob Lewin) .
- “We will be taking a charge in the fourth quarter…[Asia 2]…we expect…ANI per share to be about 18 cents lower. This is really a one-time charge…” (Rob Lewin) .
- “Based on what we see today…we feel confident that we can achieve the $7+ [ANI] per share [in 2026]…[and] $4.50+ in FRE per share” (Rob Lewin) .
- “The noise is bad, and the facts are good” (Scott Nuttall) .
Q&A Highlights
- Asia growth and international demand: KKR sees increasing investor demand across Japan/India/Korea/SEA/Australia; Asia AUM now >$80B; expects Asia to grow faster than firm average (Scott) .
- Insurance ROE trajectory: All-in ROE high-teens now with path to 20%+ as alternatives mature and third-party capital scales (Rob) .
- Capital markets outlook: Q3 transaction fees $328M (KCM $276M); baseline supports growth into 2026 with broader M&A recovery (Rob) .
- Fee rates: No degradation in fee rates for North America Fund XIV vs XIII; Q3 had a formulaic step-down in an older fund (Rob) .
- Credit exposure: No exposure to headline private credit problem names; pipeline robust; continued confidence in private credit fundamentals (Scott) .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 EPS: Actual $1.41 vs S&P Global consensus $1.2989 (beat)*.
- Q3 2025 Revenue: Actual $7.105B vs S&P Global consensus $2.258B (beat)*.
- Primary EPS – # of estimates: 17; Revenue – # of estimates: 4*.
- Implications: ANI/EPS likely to be revised upward modestly post-beat; management’s one-time Q4 clawback should be modeled (~$0.18/share), while monetization pipeline and fee growth support FY26 trajectory .
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Durable earnings quality: 80%+ of segment earnings from recurring components (FRE, insurance, strategic holdings) underpin visibility; record LTM profitability supports valuation resilience .
- Estimate momentum: Strong Q3 beats on EPS/Revenue and constructive monetization pipeline ($800M–$1B) provide catalysts into 1H’26 despite the Q4 clawback headwind .
- Insurance flywheel: Reported insurance earnings understate full economics; third-party capital, capital markets, and alternatives accruals not fully reflected—embedded earnings power likely to surface in 2027–2028 .
- Fundraising outperformance: $43B raised in Q3, $126B dry powder; K‑Series/private wealth scaling and institutional consolidation toward scaled partners favor KKR’s multi-asset platform .
- Private credit and ABF scale as secular tailwinds: Robust origination platforms, global distribution, and insurance client demand position KKR to capture share across cycles .
- Watch list: Q4 one-time $0.18/share clawback; capital markets activity pace; continued fee activation from AUM not yet paying fees ($64B) and timing of big flagship closes .
Other Relevant Press Releases (Q3 2025)
- KKR set and then moved its Q3 earnings call time to Nov 7 (10:00 a.m. ET → 9:00 a.m. ET), with webcast details provided .
- Q3 results press notice referenced posting of materials and webcast replay availability .
Citations:
- Q3 2025 8‑K earnings materials: .
- Q3 2025 earnings call transcript: .
- Q2 2025 8‑K and call for sequential/trend context: ; .
- Q1 2025 8‑K and call for prior trend and themes: ; .
- Press releases (timing/announcement): .
S&P Global disclaimer: The consensus estimates and related figures marked with an asterisk (*) are values retrieved from S&P Global.